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New informal trading blocs are likely to emerge in South Asia, centred on India or a major ASEAN country such as Indonesia. Russia’s preferred strategy will be to refrain from joining any single «constellation,» maintaining equidistance from the EU, China, and the new Asian hubs
The paths of the COVID-19 pandemic and the recovery of the global economy remain impossible to predict. But it is becoming increasingly clear that, disruptive impact on international trade will leave a lasting mark. Companies should take a fresh, holistic view of the markets and trade relationships that are likely to drive growth and secure competitive advantage in the post-COVID-19 world.